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Resource Center » U.S. & Intl Recaps | Release Dates | Event Definitions | Today's Calendar
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| Treasury Budget |
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Released on 8/12/2009 2:00:00 PM For July, 2009
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Prior | Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual |
| Treasury Budget - Level | $-94.3 B | $-180.0 B | $-181.0 B to $-130.0 B | $-180.7 B |
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Highlights
The Treasury's deficit came in as expected in July, at $180.7 billion with the fiscal year-to-date deficit at a numbing $1.267 trillion vs. a deficit of $388.6 billion this time last year. Still, the July report shows a bit of improvement in receipts with the year-on-year rate down 16.9 percent vs. 17.9 percent in June. Outlays, swollen by stimulus measures, are up 21.1 percent year-on-year vs. June's 20.5 percent. Massive or not, demand for Treasuries remains solid enough to continue funding the Treasury's deficit.
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Market Consensus Before Announcement
The U.S. Treasury monthly budget report showed a budget gap totaling $94.3 billion in June bringing the fiscal year-to-date total, now nine months into the 2009 fiscal year, to $1.1 trillion. The full-year gap is expected to top $1.8 trillion. The year-to-date gap through June last was only $285.9 billion. Looking ahead, the month of July typically shows a moderate deficit for the month but history provides little guide for this economy's budget. But for historical perspective, over the past 10 years, the average deficit for the month of July has been $31.7 billion and $49.2 billion over the past 5 years.
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Definition
The U.S. Treasury releases a monthly account of the surplus or deficit of the federal government. Changes in the budget balance of the annual fiscal year (which begins in October) are followed as an indicator of budgetary trends and the thrust of fiscal policy.
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