2012 Economic Calendar
POWERED BY  econoday logo
Resource Center »  U.S. & Intl Recaps   |   Event Release Dates   |   Event Definitions   |   Today's Calendar

Treasury Budget
Released On 5/10/2012 2:00:00 PM For Apr, 2012
PriorConsensusConsensus RangeActual
Treasury Budget - Level$-198.2 B$-30.0 B$-39.0 B to $0.0 B$59.1 B

Highlights
A surplus of $59.1 billion in April marks the first monthly surplus in more than 3-1/2 years and takes the government's year-to-date deficit, half way through the government's fiscal year, down to $719.9 billion which is sizably below the year-ago period deficit of $869.8 billion. Special factors did move $30 billion of outlays into March, yet even without these factors April still would show a $19 billion surplus. April, the month of course when annual income taxes are due, is historically a surplus month showing surpluses in 44 of the last 58 fiscal years. Led by a 40 percent increase in the corporate tax component and a 5.0 percent increase in the far larger component of individual taxes, receipts so far this fiscal year are up 5.6 percent. The outlay side is also contributing, showing a year-to-date decline of 3.5 percent led by declines in Medicare and defense.

Market Consensus before announcement
The U.S. Treasury monthly budget report showed that the nation's budget gap came in about as expected in March, at $198.2 billion. Halfway through the government's fiscal year, the budget gap continued to show improvement, at a fiscal year-to-date $779.0 billion versus a gap of $829.4 billion at this time last year. Looking ahead, the month of April typically shows a surplus for the month. Over the past 10 years, the average surplus for the month of April has been $73.6 billion and $70.4 billion over the past 5 years. The April 2011 deficit came in at $40.4 billion.

Definition
The U.S. Treasury releases a monthly account of the surplus or deficit of the federal government. Changes in the budget balance of the annual fiscal year (which begins in October) are followed as an indicator of budgetary trends and the thrust of fiscal policy.  Why Investors Care
 
[Chart]
The federal budget balance is not seasonally adjusted. Consequently, it is useful to compare the current month's budget deficit or surplus to the same month for a couple of years. Some months are known to have large surpluses because quarterly estimated tax payments are received by the government.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
 

2012 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/122/103/124/115/106/127/128/109/1310/1211/1312/12
Release For: DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov
 


powered by  [Econoday]