2018 Economic Calendar
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7-Yr Note Auction  
Released On 7/26/2018 1:00:00 PM For 7/26/2018 1:00:00 PM
Auction Results
Total Amount$30 B 
Coupon Rate2.875% 
Bid/Cover2.49 
Yield Awarded2.930% 
CUSIP Number912828Y79 
Originally Announced CUSIP912828Y79 

Highlights
Results are moderate for the monthly 7-year note auction, where coverage, at 2.49 was slightly below average for this year and the bidding was on the screws, putting the high yield at the awarded 2.930 percent, in line with the 1:00 bid. End investor demand was middling compared to previous auctions of the note this year though well above long term averages, with non-dealers taking down 77 percent of the $30 billion offering. The 2.930 percent high yield was 12.1 basis points above last month's auction rate yet 2.2 basis points shy of the yield awarded in April, which at 2.952 percent was the highest for a 7-year note auction in 8 years.

Definition
Treasury notes are sold at regularly scheduled public auctions. The competitive bids at these auctions determine the interest rate paid on each Treasury note issue. A group of securities dealers, known as primary dealers, are authorized and obligated to submit competitive tenders at Treasury auctions. Dealers can hold the notes, resell the notes to their clients or trade them with other securities firms. Typically, the New York Fed approves about 20 securities firms to be primary dealers but that number dropped sharply during the 2008 financial crisis as some were merged into other firms or went bankrupt. The Fed has been rebuilding that number regularly and the latest list can be found here. The Treasury announces the amount, date and time of the 7-year note auction monthly. The 7-year notes are announced around the third week of the month (usually on Thursday) and then auctioned the following week. In all cases, the 7-year notes are issued (settled) on the last day of the month, unless it falls on a weekend or holiday, and then they are issued on the next business day. (Department of the Treasury)  Why Investors Care
 
[Chart]

Data Source: Haver Analytics
 
[Chart]
During periods of stability in monetary policy, it is not uncommon to see average yields on 7-year notes to run at least 200 basis points over the fed funds rate target. But the differential has swung in some years on changes and expectations of changes in Fed policy. In 2007 and early 2008, the 7-year note rate was below the fed funds target on tight monetary policy. In latter 2008 and through 2011, extremely loose monetary policy pushed the differential back up. This chart shows the high yield awarded at monthly 7-year note auctions since January 2012, including the latest auction results.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
 

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