2008 Economic Calendar
   POWERED BY  econoday logo
Resource Center »  U.S. & Intl Recaps   |   Release Dates   |   Why Investors Care   |   Today's Calendar

Construction Spending
Definition
The dollar value of new construction activity on residential, non-residential, and public projects. Data are available in nominal and real (inflation-adjusted) dollars.  Why Investors Care

Released on 9/1/06 For Jul 2006
Construction Spending, M/M change
 Actual -1.2%  
 Consensus 0.0%  
 Consensus Range -0.5%  to  0.7%  
 Previous 0.3 %  

Highlights
Construction spending fell 1.2 percent in July, following a 0.4 percent gain in June. July's decrease was well below the consensus expectation of no change in construction spending in July. July's drop in construction outlays was the largest decline since the 1.3 percent decline in August 2001. In July, private construction fell 1.3 percent while public construction dipped 0.7 percent. Private residential construction dropped 2.0 percent with single-family homes down 3.0 percent, following a 2.4 percent decrease in June. Private residential outlays are down 3.0 percent on a year-on-year basis.

Nonresidential construction spending rose 0.3 percent in July, following a 3.7 percent jump in June. Monthly nonresidential outlays for July were up in: office, up 5.5 percent; power, up 2.8 percent; and transportation, up 2.0 percent. Declines were seen in commercial, down 0.1 percent, and in manufacturing, down 3.1 percent. Nonnresidential outlays are up 22.0 percent from a year ago.

Today's report is consistent with the weakening in housing starts pulling down residential construction and with healthy corporate profits boosting nonresidential construction. July's construction outlays point to a decline in residential investment in third quarter GDP but also to a rise in nonresidential investment. These numbers point to the almost standard economic forecast for moderating GDP growth in coming quarters with housing a negative and business construction a positive. Look for strength in stocks in commercial construction and softness for those reliant upon housing.

Market Consensus Before Announcement
Last month we saw divergence in components of construction spending. While overall construction outlays rose 0.3 percent in June, private residential construction fell 1.0 percent and private non-residential construction jumped 2.7 percent. We can expect residential outlays to continue to slip in line with starts and housing sales, but will nonresidential construction continue to be healthy?

Construction spending Consensus Forecast for July 06: 0.0 percent
Range: -0.5 to +0.7 percent
Trends
[Chart] Construction spending has moderated significantly over the past year despite strenth in the housing market. Residential construction is not growing as rapidly as it did even though current levels are high. Nonresidential construction has begun to improve, but gains are still modest.
Data Source: Haver Analytics

2006 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/3 2/1 3/1 4/3 5/1 6/1 7/3 8/1 9/1 10/2 11/1 12/1
Released For: Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct


 
powered by [Econoday]