Business Inventories
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Released On 3/14/2018 10:00:00 AM For Jan, 2018
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Prior | Prior Revised | Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual |
Inventories - M/M change | 0.4 % | 0.6 % | 0.5 % | 0.3 % to 0.6 % | 0.6 % |
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Highlights
Inventory growth proved strong in January, up 0.6 percent led by a 0.8 percent gain for wholesalers and a 0.7 percent build for retailers and including a 0.3 percent inventory rise at manufacturers. Builds in February and March, however, are not certain given a decline in total sales which fell 0.2 percent and which does not point to the need for restocking.
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Consensus Outlook
A sizable build of 0.5 percent is expected for January business inventories, an increase that would give an early boost to the inventory component of first-quarter GDP.
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Definition
Business inventories are the dollar amount of inventories held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. The level of inventories in relation to sales is an important indicator of the near-term direction of production activity. (Bureau of the Census)
Why Investors Care
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Inventories tend to rise when economic conditions are strong since sales are rising at the same time, the inventory-to- sales ratio may remain stable, or rise at a very slow pace. Inventories tend to when economic conditions are weak since sales are falling at the same time, the inventory-to-sales ratio may remain relatively stable. The I- S ratio then begins to rise as sales fall more quickly than inventory growth.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
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